For the 21st consecutive year, I’ve assembled a mock draft ahead of the NFL’s Annual Player Selection Meeting. For the first time, you can read it here on NFL.com.
My approach is research-driven: I blend insider reports, team needs, scheme fits, apparent organizational philosophies, and betting odds to connect the dots and predict what each club’s decision-makers might do when they’re on the clock.
My track record speaks for itself: over the last five years, I’ve ranked fifth in overall accuracy among 75 draft experts, including a second-place finish among 172 experts just a year ago. In 2009, I had the most accurate mock draft on record. While connecting every dot in a first-round mock is impossible, matching players with teams ahead of draft night is very much within reach.
With exactly five weeks until the 2025 NFL Draft opens, here’s how I see the first-round puzzle playing out.
Pick 1: Tennessee Titans – Cam Ward, QB, Miami (Senior)
The Titans hold the top overall pick, and while a trade-down scenario is always possible, selecting their quarterback of the future remains the most logical path. Cam Ward has the arm talent, poise, and leadership that Tennessee’s new regime appears to covet. First-year general manager Mike Borgonzi (formerly of Kansas City) and second-year head coach Brian Callahan (formerly of Cincinnati) have each worked with elite quarterbacks in the past, and Ward’s skill set aligns well with the type of signal-callers they’ve had success developing.
Ward’s ability to make plays inside and outside the pocket, along with his quick release and accuracy on intermediate throws, makes him a strong candidate to be the face of the franchise moving forward. His experience operating a pro-style system at Miami gives him a leg up in transitioning to the NFL, and the Titans may view him as the missing piece to reinvigorate an offense that has struggled in recent years.
Could the Titans Trade Down?
While selecting Ward at No. 1 makes sense, Tennessee could still entertain offers to move down, especially if another team is desperate to land a quarterback. The Chicago Bears and Washington Commanders—both in need of a long-term answer under center—could present enticing trade packages. However, the Titans must weigh the risk of passing on a potential franchise quarterback in favor of accumulating more assets.
The DraftKings betting odds heavily favor Tennessee selecting a quarterback first overall, reinforcing the belief that this pick will be used to secure the future of the franchise at the game’s most important position. Unless an overwhelming trade offer emerges, Ward remains the top candidate to hear his name called first on draft night.
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