By admin 
Michael Moore, the celebrated documentary filmmaker and political commentator known for his accurate predictions in the 2016 election, has once again weighed in on the 2024 race. In a recent Substack essay, Moore confidently declared that former President Donald Trump’s chances of staging a political comeback are “toast,” favoring Vice President Kamala Harris to win the presidency.
Moore’s Insight on the 2024 Election Landscape
Moore, whose documentaries such as Fahrenheit 9/11 and Fahrenheit 11/9 earned him a reputation as a keen observer of American politics, expressed his belief that Harris’s momentum heading into the 2024 election is unlike anything seen in recent political history. “The vast majority of the country, the normal people, have seen enough and want the clown car to disappear into the MAGA vortex somewhere between reality and Orlando,” Moore stated, referencing his view that voters are growing weary of Trump’s brand of politics.
He highlighted the growing support for Harris, particularly in key battleground states like Wisconsin, Michigan, Pennsylvania, and New Hampshire. According to Moore, Harris is set to lead the Electoral College by a narrow margin of 270 to 268, emphasizing that the Vice President’s campaign is successfully gaining traction across traditional swing states.
Harris’s Advantage and Trump’s Challenges
Moore further elaborated on his prediction by citing multiple polls and personal observations. He believes Harris’s rise is rooted in the support of everyday Americans—those “shopping at Costco, having fun making TikToks, and eating once a week at Chili’s”—and pointed to these groups as potential drivers of Harris’s success. According to Moore, their growing dissatisfaction with Trump’s leadership is a critical factor that will shift the electorate in favor of Harris.
However, Moore also cautioned against underestimating Trump, acknowledging his past ability to defy expectations. “We do know that Trump has a stellar streak of pulling off the impossible,” Moore admitted. He urged caution, noting that overconfidence could lead to unexpected outcomes, especially when facing an unpredictable opponent like Trump.
While some analysts remain hesitant to predict the exact outcome of the Electoral College, Moore is confident that Harris’s campaign will energize nonvoters—the second-largest political group in the U.S.—and drive them to the polls. He emphasized that just a small increase in turnout from these nonvoters could make all the difference in tightly contested states.
The Polls and Public Sentiment
Current poll trackers show Harris leading Trump by three percentage points in the popular vote, but Moore notes that polling numbers can shift rapidly in the lead-up to Election Day. Despite this, Moore stands firm in his assessment, suggesting that Harris has a strong chance of turning those polls into a decisive Electoral College victory.
As the 2024 election draws closer, the battle between Harris and Trump is sure to intensify, with voters left to decide between two vastly different visions for the future of the country. However, if Moore’s predictions prove to be as accurate as they were in 2016, Donald Trump may soon find himself facing an unexpected loss.