Breaking Down the 2025 MVP Race: Favorites and Dark Horses to Watch

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Breaking Down the 2025 MVP Race: Favorites and Dark Horses to Watch

Can Ohtani and Judge Repeat, or Will a New Star Rise?

The 2024 season gave us two unforgettable MVP performances from baseball’s biggest names. In the American League, Aaron Judge powered the Yankees with 58 home runs, proving his 2022 record-breaking campaign was no fluke. Meanwhile, over in the National League, Shohei Ohtani made history yet again, launching 50 homers while dominating at the plate in his first season with the Dodgers.

But will they do it again in 2025? With the new season underway, the MVP conversation is wide open. Alongside perennial favorites, fresh contenders and dark horse candidates could shake up the race. Let’s break it all down.

American League MVP Favorites

Bobby Witt Jr. – The Next Superstar?

Witt’s electrifying 2024 campaign nearly won him the MVP, but he was edged out by Judge. The Royals’ shortstop, already a two-time 30-30 player, is on the verge of history—one more such season ties him with Barry Bonds for the longest streak ever. With his elite speed, power, and defensive prowess, Witt has all the makings of an MVP.

Aaron Judge – Can He Go Back-to-Back?

Judge didn’t just win MVP in 2024—he dominated. His .322/.458/.701 slash line and 58 homers made him the league’s most feared hitter. But repeating won’t be easy, especially with Juan Soto no longer providing lineup protection. Still, Judge is in his prime, and if anyone can run it back, it’s him.

Gunnar Henderson – The Orioles’ Young Phenom

Few players have risen as quickly as Henderson. After winning AL Rookie of the Year in 2023, he became a full-fledged superstar in 2024. If he stays healthy and builds on his first-half dominance from last season (.287/.373/.584 with 28 homers), Henderson could take the next leap—right into MVP territory.

Vladimir Guerrero Jr. – A Return to MVP Form?

Guerrero Jr. has already come close to MVP glory, finishing second in 2021. After an impressive 2024 that saw him post a .940 OPS, he’s back in the conversation. With free agency looming, Guerrero has all the motivation he needs to deliver his best season yet.

José Ramírez – The Veteran Challenger

Few players have been as consistently elite as Ramírez, yet an MVP trophy has always eluded him. In 2024, he was a double and a homer away from an unprecedented 40-40-40 season (doubles, homers, and steals). If there’s ever a year for him to finally claim the award, this might be it.

National League MVP Favorites

Juan Soto – The Best Hitter in Baseball?

Soto is a statistical monster, and now with the Mets, he has a new stage to showcase his talent. His ability to get on base (.400+ OBP every season of his career) and hit for power makes him an MVP threat every year. If he puts it all together, 2025 could be his year.

Shohei Ohtani – A Three-Peat in the Making?

Ohtani didn’t need to pitch in 2024 to win MVP. That’s how good he was. Now, with a return to the mound on the horizon, his case only strengthens. If he stays healthy, a third straight MVP—and fourth overall—feels entirely within reach.

Kyle Tucker – The Underrated Superstar

Tucker’s numbers have quietly placed him among the league’s most productive players, but a move to the Cubs could elevate him into the spotlight. His all-around game, power, and patience at the plate make him a legitimate contender if he stays healthy.

Francisco Lindor – The Mets’ MVP Hope

Lindor finished second in the MVP race last season and only seems to be getting better. His second-half surge in 2024 (.956 OPS from August onward) proved he can carry an offense. If he continues that trajectory, he might finally take home the award.

Elly De La Cruz – The Electric Young Star

De La Cruz is a human highlight reel, but he’s more than just flash—his 25-homer, 67-steal campaign in 2024 was one of the most dynamic in recent memory. If he cuts down on strikeouts and refines his approach, he has MVP-level potential.

Dark Horse Candidates to Watch

Paul Skenes – A Pitcher’s MVP Case?

It’s rare for a pitcher to win MVP, but Skenes’ historic rookie campaign (1.96 ERA) suggests he could be an exception. If he dominates over a full season, the Pirates ace could break the mold.

Rafael Devers – Boston’s Slugging Star

Devers has quietly been one of the AL’s best hitters for years. With more support in the Red Sox lineup, 2025 might finally be the season he makes a serious MVP push.

Jackson Chourio – The Brewers’ Future Leader

At just 21, Chourio is already showing superstar potential. His breakout second half in 2024 (.303/.358/.525) suggests he’s ready to become Milwaukee’s franchise player—and maybe an MVP candidate.

Michael Harris II – A September Surge to Build On

Harris struggled with injuries last year, but his .923 OPS in September proved what he’s capable of when healthy. If he carries that momentum into 2025, he could emerge as an unexpected MVP contender.

Wyatt Langford – The Sophomore Sensation?

Langford turned his rookie season around in spectacular fashion, finishing with a .996 OPS in September. If he avoids another slow start, he could skyrocket into the MVP race.

Final Thoughts: A Wide-Open MVP Race

With so many elite players in contention, the 2025 MVP race promises to be one of the most competitive in years. Will Ohtani and Judge hold onto their crowns? Can a young star like Witt or Soto rise to the top? Or will a dark horse candidate shock the baseball world?

One thing’s for sure—this season’s MVP battle is going to be thrilling from start to finish.

By Sunday

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