GREEN BAY, Wis. — In just over two months, the Green Bay Packers will kick off the 2025 season against the Detroit Lions with back-to-back games at Lambeau Field. But does opening at home still offer the advantage it once did?
Homefield advantage across the NFL has declined significantly. According to Fox Sports, in four of the last six seasons, home teams have won just 53% of games or fewer—far below the historical average. In the Super Bowl era, that’s an unprecedented stretch.
For the Packers, Lambeau has historically been a fortress. Under coach Matt LaFleur, Green Bay is 38-12 at home—second-best in the league since 2019 behind only the Buffalo Bills (39-11). Yet cracks have appeared: last season, the Packers went 6-3 at home but were swept by NFC North rivals. The Lions, who went decades without a win in Wisconsin, have now won three straight at Lambeau under Dan Campbell.
In the playoffs, the Packers are 2-2 at Lambeau under LaFleur, including a heartbreaking loss to the Buccaneers in the 2020 NFC Championship and another to the 49ers in 2021.
Why Is Homefield Losing Its Edge?
Teams are better prepared for hostile environments. Packers offensive coordinator Adam Stenavich credits practicing with crowd noise and silent counts, allowing players to stay composed. Coach LaFleur agreed: “It’s an advantage for defenses, but it’s about execution after the snap.”
The statistics show the shift. Since LaFleur arrived:
Packers at home: 38-12
Packers on the road: 29-21 (7th-best in the NFL)
That road success suggests the Packers perform well regardless of venue. And they’ll need that resilience this year: Detroit, Minnesota, Philadelphia, Baltimore, and Washington—all playoff-caliber teams—are set to visit Lambeau.
Homefield Records Across the NFL (2019-2024)
Bills: 39-11 at home
Packers: 38-12
Chiefs: 38-12
Ravens: 34-16
Cowboys: 32-18
By comparison, the league median over that span is just 26-24, barely over .500 at home.
Lambeau in Winter
One edge Lambeau still holds is the cold. The Packers are 13-3 in December and January regular-season home games since 2019, though they fell to the Bears at Lambeau last winter. But postseason results tell a different story: Green Bay’s 2-2 home playoff record shows even the frigid conditions aren’t a guaranteed advantage.
What About Jordan Love?
As a starter, Love is 10-6 at home (65.2% completions, 95.8 passer rating) and 8-8 on the road (61.7% completions, 94.3 rating). The numbers suggest he plays slightly better at Lambeau, but not dramatically so.
Bottom Line
With powerhouse opponents like the Lions, Vikings, Eagles, Commanders, and Ravens set to visit Lambeau in 2025, the Packers must rediscover their home dominance to secure a playoff berth. Early matchups against Detroit and Washington could define Green Bay’s season.
Frozen Tundra or Neutral Turf? Packers’ Homefield Put to the Test
