
CLEVELAND (July 5, 2025) – The Detroit Tigers (55‑34) head to Progressive Field tonight to face the Cleveland Guardians (40‑46) in the middle game of this three‑game weekend set. Detroit enters as a clear favorite, riding a wave of dominance in recent weeks—while the Guardians continue their downward spiral.
🔍 Betting Odds & Market Overview
Moneyline: Tigers around –130 to –134, Guardians +110 to +113
Run Line: Tigers –1.5 at roughly +120
Total (O/U): 9 runs
📉 Guardians’ Slump
Cleveland has dropped eight straight games—their longest skid since 2021—and scored just 12 runs across the last six . Their offense has faltered considerably, managing only 72 runs in 27 June contests .
🔑 Key Matchup & Betting Angles
Reese Olson returns strong for Detroit after a rehab stint, boasting a tidy 2.96 ERA and 1.171 WHIP .
Cleveland’s Slade Cecconi (3.64 ERA) has shown little spark during the skid .
Experts are leaning on Detroit to cover the first 5 innings (–0.5, around +100) and strongly favor the Tigers moneyline .
Prop bets suggest Cleveland scoring under 1.5 runs through five innings .
🧠 Expert Picks
Action Network projects the Tigers to cover early and recommends “Tigers First Five Innings –0.5 (+100)” .
Covers.com highlights José Ramírez as a rebound candidate, backing him for over 1.5 total bases .
PredictEm and Joe Jensen favor Detroit with a straight moneyline or –1.5 run line .
⚾ Game Outlook
Detroit boasts the AL’s best record and offensive firepower, averaging over 5 runs per game . Meanwhile, Cleveland’s slump isn’t just a skid—it’s a full breakdown. Unless Ramirez or other key bats rekindle the lineup, the Tigers are poised to keep rolling.
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✅ Bottom line picks:
🔹 Primary: Tigers moneyline (–130 to –134)
🔹 Value play: Tigers –0.5 (first five innings)
🔹 Props: Cleveland under 1.5 runs (first five innings); look for Ramirez to be double‑digit in total bases.